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Trader profile

msatoshi

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$119Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66%250 settled · past 180 days3 open · 50% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$151.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded196Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 66% · Decided 250 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$628
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11
Concentration
81.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$513PnL+$199Avg50¢Current81.8¢627.6Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$115PnL−$199Avg50¢Current18.3¢627.6Shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
NoValue$0.40PnL+$0.01Avg96.3¢Current99.6¢0.4Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.03Avg0.8¢Current0¢3.38Shares
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0.5¢Current0¢0.92Shares
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.06Avg2.8¢Current0¢2.27Shares
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.08Avg0.4¢Current0¢24Shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg85.5¢Current0¢12.01Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet msatoshi: 66% win rate over 250 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$119 lifetime P&L, $151.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.