PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Contentious-Dinnerdate

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$87.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…130 open · 28% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded904Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.3% / $95% interval −446.8% to +455.3%61 settled fills · 90d window
Tech
+8.8%n=55 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$74.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4K
Concentration
9%
Largest share of value
Positions
301
Showing the largest 8 of 301
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$6.7KPnL+$4.9KAvg24.6¢Current91¢7,334.12Shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
YesValue$5.8KPnL+$2.4KAvg47.9¢Current82.5¢7,067.48Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$5.5KPnL+$788Avg84.4¢Current98.6¢5,576.93Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$4.2KPnL+$843Avg66.4¢Current83¢5,064.15Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$407Avg64.6¢Current73.5¢4,579.42Shares
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$3KPnL+$155Avg86.8¢Current91.5¢3,318.92Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$822Avg15.5¢Current21.5¢13,655.29Shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$130Avg29.8¢Current31.5¢7,422.83Shares
Showing 8 of 301 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Contentious-Dinnerdate: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +4.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −446.8%, n=61 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Tech (+8.8% over 55 fills); +$87.5K lifetime P&L, $3.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.