Trader profile

crypto-basenji

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$12.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…68 open · 52% underwater · 13 hours ago

Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded432Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−36.1% / $95% interval −143.2% to +71.0%56 settled fills · 90d window

Politics: −25.4%n=15 settled
Sports: −29.0%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded13 hours ago

Current position value: $24.7K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$11K
Concentration: 11.3%
Positions: 94

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

NoValue$2.8KPnL+$1.2KAvg52¢Current91¢3,078.13Shares

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

YesValue$1.9KPnL+$625Avg26¢Current38.5¢5,000Shares

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?

YesValue$1.7KPnL+$222Avg65.8¢Current76¢2,181.92Shares

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

YesValue$1.5KPnL+$581Avg60¢Current98.9¢1,496.26Shares

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

NoValue$1.5KPnL−$664Avg60.9¢Current41.9¢3,501.02Shares

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

YesValue$1.1KPnL−$169Avg37.3¢Current32.5¢3,492.24Shares

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?

NoValue$1.1KPnL+$214Avg73.8¢Current91.3¢1,221.84Shares

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

YesValue$1KPnL−$561Avg23¢Current15¢6,999.57Shares

Showing 8 of 94 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 days ago

SELLNO

No · 77¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Open market →$2.4K

5 days ago

SELLNO

Lionel Messi · 94.1¢

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Open market →$1.9K

9 days ago

BUYNO

50+ bps increase · 74.4¢

Central Bank of Colombia decision in SeptemberOpen market →$1K

9 days ago

SELLNO

October 31 · 86¢

NATO x Russia military clash by...?Open market →$1.9K

10 days ago

SELLNO

Kylian Mbappé · 89¢

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Open market →$1.8K

About this wallet

Wallet crypto-basenji: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −36.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −143.2%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−25.4% over 15 fills); +$12.6K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.