PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pmwinner

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$22.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57%263 settled · past 180 days9 open · <1% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded262Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.4% / $95% interval −149.1% to +138.2%61 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+1.0%n=51 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57% · Decided 263 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$164.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$7.8K
Concentration
53.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
NoValue$87.9KPnL+$4.5KAvg94.4¢Current99.5¢88,382.42Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
NoValue$34.9KPnL+$1.3KAvg96.1¢Current99.8¢35,000Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?
NoValue$20.2KPnL+$679Avg96.5¢Current99.9¢20,262.33Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
NoValue$19.9KPnL+$1.3KAvg92.6¢Current99.3¢20,000Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$7Avg95¢Current94.5¢1,360.26Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2PnL+$0.08Avg33¢Current34.5¢5Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
YesValue$2PnL−$3Avg50.3¢Current16.6¢10Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$0.75PnL−$0.27Avg8.5¢Current6.3¢12Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pmwinner: 57% win rate over 263 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −149.1%, n=61 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+1.0% over 51 fills); +$22.9K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.