PolyTrace
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Trader profile

wish-

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$73KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…109 open · 37% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$16.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded801Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.4% / $95% interval −404.5% to +359.6%124 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+7.9%n=20 settled
Politics
−24.7%n=57 settled
Finance
−27.1%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$164.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.5K
Concentration
17.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
109
Showing the largest 8 of 109
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$28.7KPnL+$700Avg50¢Current51.2¢56,000Shares
NoValue$27.3KPnL−$700Avg50¢Current48.8¢56,000Shares
NoValue$11KPnL+$236Avg92.5¢Current94.5¢11,661.57Shares
NoValue$10.3KPnL+$252Avg91.2¢Current93.5¢10,999.98Shares
NoValue$8.5KPnL+$57Avg99¢Current99.7¢8,499.99Shares
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$39Avg99¢Current99.8¢5,500Shares
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$64Avg94.6¢Current95.9¢5,000Shares
YesValue$4.3KPnL+$444Avg83.8¢Current93.5¢4,591.27Shares
Showing 8 of 109 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet wish-: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −22.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −404.5%, n=124 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+7.9% over 20 fills); +$73K lifetime P&L, $16.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.