PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

pako

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$344.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…42 open · 24% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$19.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded427Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.1% / $95% interval −113.6% to +135.7%94 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+12.1%n=93 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$220.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$91.3K
Concentration
67.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
124
Showing the largest 8 of 124
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$148.9KPnL+$125Avg99.2¢Current99.3¢150,000Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$28.4KPnL+$2.8KAvg53.7¢Current59.5¢47,783.24Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$10KPnL+$928Avg65.8¢Current72.5¢13,818.35Shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
NoValue$6.7KPnL+$464Avg91.3¢Current98.1¢6,851.28Shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
NoValue$6.5KPnL+$2.6KAvg56.2¢Current94.9¢6,851.71Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$5.6KPnL−$1.1KAvg45¢Current37.5¢14,999.98Shares
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
NoValue$5.1KPnL+$975Avg77.4¢Current95.7¢5,346.64Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$436Avg74.5¢Current84.9¢4,219.15Shares
Showing 8 of 124 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pako: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +11.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −113.6%, n=94 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+12.1% over 93 fills); +$344.6K lifetime P&L, $19.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.