PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

US-Phenom

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$12.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$3.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,671Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+47.1% / $95% interval −15.5% to +109.6%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+50.8%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0.72
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
234
Showing the largest 8 of 234
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0.72PnL−$0.28Avg48¢Current34.5¢2.08Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg50¢Current8Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg39.8¢Current251.35Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg49¢Current61.22Shares
UpValue$0PnL−$35Avg48.8¢Current71.77Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg50¢Current10Shares
Magic · YesValue$0PnL−$597Avg23.8¢Current2,502.13Shares
DownValue$0PnL−$4Avg51¢Current7.84Shares
Showing 8 of 234 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet US-Phenom: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +47.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −15.5%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+50.8% over 24 fills); −$12.4K lifetime P&L, $3.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.