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Trader profile

exstnc

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$25.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateOnly 15 settled so far0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$697.8K509 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded27Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.8% / $95% interval −27.5% to +43.1%36 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.9%n=30 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$149.9K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg13¢Current23,200Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$5KAvg20¢Current24,800Shares
KC · YesValue$0PnL−$4.4KAvg46¢Current9,500Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$18.8KAvg47¢Current40,000Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$3.4KAvg21.4¢Current16,000Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$51.6KAvg56¢Current92,200Shares
Packers · YesValue$0PnL−$30.9KAvg45.7¢Current67,525Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$510Avg51¢Current1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet exstnc: edge +7.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.5%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.9% over 30 fills); +$25.7K lifetime P&L, $697.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.