PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pada

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$56KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$11.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded92Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+100.4% / $95% interval −128.7% to +329.5%58 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+103.2%n=57 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$83K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$9Avg0.5¢Current0¢1,972.85Shares
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$166Avg0.5¢Current0¢34,650Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$67.9KAvg21.9¢Current0¢309,628.29Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$202Avg0.8¢Current0¢25,516.37Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg0.4¢Current0¢500,000Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg2.1¢Current0¢52,116.39Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
NoValue$0PnL−$11.2KAvg13.9¢Current0¢80,802.53Shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$330Avg0.5¢Current0¢68,910.05Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pada: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +100.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.7%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+103.2% over 57 fills); −$56K lifetime P&L, $11.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.