PolyTrace
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Trader profile

turtle4

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$51Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70.7%41 settled · past 180 days2 open · 0% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$109K170 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded113Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.7% · Decided 41 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$20
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21
Concentration
32.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
NoValue$6PnL+$0.37Avg90¢Current95.5¢6.67Shares
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
NoValue$4PnL+$0.26Avg94¢Current100¢4.26Shares
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
NoValue$4PnL+$0.08Avg98.1¢Current100¢4.08Shares
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
NoValue$4PnL+$0.57Avg84¢Current100¢3.57Shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
NoValue$1PnL+$0.04Avg96.8¢Current99.8¢1.47Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg74¢Current0¢13.51Shares
Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg58¢Current0¢8.62Shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
NoValue$0PnL−$7Avg89.7¢Current0¢7.8Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet turtle4: 70.7% win rate over 41 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$51 lifetime P&L, $109K traded, updated 2026-09-20.