PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$109.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70.5%78 settled · past 90 days7 open · 22% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$21.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded334Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.5% / $95% interval −89.3% to +80.4%228 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+12.9%n=69 settled
Tech
+5.0%n=25 settled
Finance
−4.7%n=10 settled
Culture
−5.1%n=14 settled
Politics
−17.6%n=106 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.5% · Decided 78 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$33.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14.3K
Concentration
53.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$18.1KPnL+$320Avg92.1¢Current93.8¢19,300Shares
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$8.8KPnL+$1KAvg85¢Current96.1¢9,189.2Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$139Avg96.5¢Current99.4¢4,876.76Shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
YesValue$1KPnL+$1KAvg0¢Current82.5¢1,240.1Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$748PnL−$37Avg74¢Current70.5¢1,060.55Shares
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$189PnL−$4Avg96.7¢Current94.8¢199Shares
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
YesValue$25PnL−$644Avg70.5¢Current2.6¢948.52Shares
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$521Avg64.2¢Current0¢810.92Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29: 70.5% win rate over 78 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −89.3%, n=228 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.9% over 69 fills); +$109.6K lifetime P&L, $21.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.