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Trader profile

Vespuccii

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$939Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.8%32 settled · past 180 days10 open · 51% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded223Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.3% / $95% interval −126.1% to +121.4%53 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+5.6%n=17 settled
Politics
−5.0%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 30 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.8% · Decided 32 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$87.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$413
Concentration
49.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$43.4KPnL+$16.1KAvg50¢Current79.4¢54,722.67Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$21.1KPnL−$150Avg71¢Current70.5¢29,999.97Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$11.3KPnL−$16.1KAvg50¢Current20.7¢54,722.67Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$5.9KPnL−$520Avg80¢Current73.5¢8,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$3KPnL+$761Avg74¢Current99.4¢3,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$96Avg58.7¢Current61.5¢3,469.26Shares
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$650PnL+$10Avg32¢Current32.5¢2,000Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
NoValue$268PnL+$225Avg13¢Current81¢331.2Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Vespuccii: 43.8% win rate over 32 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −2.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −126.1%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+5.6% over 17 fills); +$939 lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.