PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

Understandable98

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$63.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet1 open · 0% underwater · 31 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded327Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.9% / $95% interval −113.5% to +95.8%280 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.1%n=170 settled
Crypto
−12.2%n=93 settled
Unmapped
−22.3%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete31 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$313.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
154
Showing the largest 8 of 154
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
JiJieHao · YesValue$1.4KPnL+$697Avg49¢Current95.5¢1,500.95Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$450Avg23.6¢Current1,905.93Shares
Brute · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg42¢Current2,999.95Shares
GalorysValue$0PnL−$7Avg45¢Current16.04Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg20.8¢Current4,819.06Shares
DownValue$0PnL−$300Avg44.5¢Current674.38Shares
WBTValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg31¢Current8,999.78Shares
Showing 8 of 154 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Understandable98: edge −8.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −113.5%, n=280 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.1% over 170 fills); −$63.9K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.