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Trader profile

HornyBibi

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$26.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.8%356 settled · past 180 days9 open · 3% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded489Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.1% / $95% interval −391.6% to +367.4%29 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−21.9%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.8% · Decided 356 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$3.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1K
Concentration
92.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
68
Showing the largest 8 of 68
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
NoValue$3KPnL+$3KAvg0¢Current94.2¢3,200Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$167PnL−$63Avg57.5¢Current41.8¢399.97Shares
Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
YesValue$63PnL−$9Avg16¢Current14¢450Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
YesValue$10PnL−$16Avg10¢Current3.8¢255Shares
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
NoValue$7PnL+$2Avg70¢Current94.9¢7.78Shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$5PnL−$2Avg16¢Current12¢40Shares
Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
YesValue$3PnL−$0.08Avg4.5¢Current4.4¢61.48Shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
YesValue$0.25PnL−$0.04Avg6¢Current5.3¢4.85Shares
Showing 8 of 68 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HornyBibi: 59.8% win rate over 356 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −391.6%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−21.9% over 12 fills); +$26.3K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.