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Trader profile

TheTommyToes

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate25.6%1,309 settled · past 180 days19 open · 47% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$220.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded938Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 25.6% · Decided 1,309 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$333
Snapshot cash PnL
−$243
Concentration
49.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
46
Showing the largest 8 of 46
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$166PnL+$148Avg5.5¢Current51.5¢322.26Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$79PnL+$61Avg5.5¢Current24.5¢322.26Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$66PnL+$48Avg5.5¢Current20.5¢322.26Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$13PnL−$5Avg5.5¢Current4.1¢322.26Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$3PnL−$15Avg5.5¢Current0.9¢322.26Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
YesValue$2PnL−$3Avg15¢Current6.5¢33.33Shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$17Avg5.5¢Current0.4¢322.26Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1PnL+$0.04Avg67¢Current69.5¢1.49Shares
Showing 8 of 46 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TheTommyToes: 25.6% win rate over 1,309 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$2K lifetime P&L, $220.7K traded, updated 2026-09-24.