PolyTrace
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Trader profile

AgricultureSecretary

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$735.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate80%1,038 settled · past 90 days20 open · 82% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$47.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,100Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+89.6% / $95% interval +7.9% to +171.3%461 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+113.6%n=349 settled
Crypto
+52.3%n=14 settled
Politics
+8.8%n=40 settled
Unmapped
+1.2%n=19 settled
Finance
−9.0%n=16 settled
Culture
−16.6%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 80% · Decided 1,038 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$29K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$28.8K
Concentration
63%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$18.3KPnL+$7.3KAvg11¢Current18.3¢100,000Shares
YesValue$7.4KPnL−$35.4KAvg66.7¢Current11.5¢64,207.59Shares
YesValue$635PnL+$145Avg4.9¢Current6.4¢10,000Shares
YesValue$506PnL−$194AvgCurrent6.5¢7,777Shares
NoValue$398PnL+$333Avg13¢Current79.5¢500Shares
YesValue$385PnL+$11Avg17¢Current17.5¢2,200Shares
YesValue$347PnL−$202Avg9.9¢Current6.3¢5,555.5Shares
YesValue$270PnL−$50Avg16¢Current13.5¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AgricultureSecretary: 80% win rate over 1,038 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +89.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +7.9%, n=461 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+113.6% over 349 fills); +$735.8K lifetime P&L, $47.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.