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Trader profile

Kakegurui77

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$3.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$38.3K41 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded15Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+44.9% / $95% interval −326.6% to +416.5%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+44.9%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete28 minutes ago
Current position value
$3
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Arthur Fils · NoValue$3PnL+$0.70Avg74¢Current100¢2.7Shares
Alec Deckers · NoValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg49¢Current4,750.84Shares
Valentin Vacherot · YesValue$0PnL−$983Avg58¢Current1,695.5Shares
Fils · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg52¢Current2,708.12Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg41¢Current975.61Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg28¢Current1,428.57Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg58¢Current1,990.36Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Kakegurui77: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +44.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −326.6%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+44.9% over 11 fills); −$3.1K lifetime P&L, $38.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.