PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

kadu

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$6.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded474Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.3% / $95% interval −354.6% to +359.1%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+9.1%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.4K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
261
Showing the largest 8 of 261
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$29Avg19.3¢Current149.96Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg1.7¢Current150Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$26Avg32.2¢Current80Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$15Avg30.2¢Current50Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$64Avg28.5¢Current225.69Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$9Avg29.2¢Current30Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$72Avg32.9¢Current219.99Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$7Avg10.4¢Current70Shares
Showing 8 of 261 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kadu: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +2.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −354.6%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+9.1% over 15 fills); −$6.5K lifetime P&L, $3.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.