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Trader profile

Mrage

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$32.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.6%56 settled · past 180 days4 open · 53% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$432.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.6% · Decided 56 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$10K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$496
Concentration
79.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$7.9KPnL+$2.9KAvg50¢Current79.4¢10,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.1KPnL−$2.9KAvg50¢Current20.7¢10,000Shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$26PnL−$409Avg29¢Current1.8¢1,500Shares
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$3PnL−$2Avg17.6¢Current11.5¢24.83Shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 24?
YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg19.9¢Current0¢115.99Shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?
YesValue$0PnL−$14Avg34.7¢Current0¢40Shares
Will Tropical Storm Dolly strengthen to a hurricane?
YesValue$0PnL−$49Avg3.7¢Current0¢1,319.99Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Mrage: 44.6% win rate over 56 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$32.3K lifetime P&L, $432.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.