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Trader profile

Fuentes31

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$35KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42.4%500 settled · past 180 days16 open · 17% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,356Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.8% / $95% interval −115.1% to +113.4%78 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+9.4%n=13 settled
Sports
−4.3%n=65 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 42.4% · Decided 500 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$42.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$64K
Concentration
58.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
121
Showing the largest 8 of 121
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$24.7KPnL+$638Avg22.9¢Current23.5¢104,999.71Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$5.6KPnL+$2KAvg37.6¢Current58.5¢9,600Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$598Avg51.1¢Current61.5¢5,772.88Shares
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$741Avg53.1¢Current77.5¢3,040.98Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$492Avg57¢Current77.5¢2,402.22Shares
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$1KPnL+$23Avg41.1¢Current42¢2,459.18Shares
Lula participates in debate before first round?
NoValue$751PnL−$3Avg46.2¢Current46¢1,633.5Shares
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
NoValue$542PnL+$183Avg65.6¢Current98.9¢548.09Shares
Showing 8 of 121 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Fuentes31: 42.4% win rate over 500 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −115.1%, n=78 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+9.4% over 13 fills); +$35K lifetime P&L, $5.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.