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Trader profile

Ersicolus

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46%278 settled · past 180 days18 open · 21% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$857.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded431Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 46% · Decided 278 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$3.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.4K
Concentration
26.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
NoValue$997PnL+$279Avg71.9¢Current99.8¢999.99Shares
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$991PnL+$780Avg21.1¢Current99.1¢1,000Shares
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
YesValue$847PnL+$693Avg17.5¢Current96.4¢878.83Shares
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
NoValue$720PnL+$593Avg17.5¢Current99.6¢722.99Shares
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$83PnL−$582Avg4.4¢Current0.5¢15,178.33Shares
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
YesValue$40PnL+$14Avg1.3¢Current2¢1,987Shares
Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?
YesValue$12PnL+$2Avg1.4¢Current1.6¢770Shares
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
YesValue$10PnL−$6Avg2¢Current1.2¢804.96Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet Ersicolus: 46% win rate over 278 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$6.4K lifetime P&L, $857.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.