PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

johnki

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate19.4%31 settled · past 90 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$656.6K134 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded77Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.2% / $95% interval −103.9% to +79.5%22 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−12.2%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 19.4% · Decided 31 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0.83
Snapshot cash PnL
−$61.5K
Concentration
50.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Anyone's Legend · NoValue$0.42PnL+$0.26Avg37.9¢Current100¢0.42Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Dplus KIA · NoValue$0.41PnL+$0.21Avg48.2¢Current100¢0.41Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg29¢Current0¢5,107.31Shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
G2 Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg33¢Current0¢5,813.27Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg48.5¢Current0¢6,468.35Shares
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?
YesValue$0PnL−$800Avg17¢Current0¢4,705.88Shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Dplus KIAValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg21.5¢Current0¢5,569.85Shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
YesValue$0PnL−$976Avg11¢Current0¢8,873.64Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet johnki: 19.4% win rate over 31 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −103.9%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.2% over 22 fills); +$14K lifetime P&L, $656.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.