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Trader profile

verylucky

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$52KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.3%122 settled · past 90 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$885.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded296Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−42.1% / $95% interval −77.1% to −7.1%41 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−38.7%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.3% · Decided 122 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$144.2K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
180
Showing the largest 8 of 180
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
OverValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg32.6¢Current8,640.43Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$165Avg55¢Current300Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$92AvgCurrent9,150.39Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$590Avg59¢Current1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1,000Avg24.8¢Current4,040Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$165Avg33¢Current500Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$100AvgCurrent9,999.99Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$21Avg21¢Current99.99Shares
Showing 8 of 180 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet verylucky: 35.3% win rate over 122 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −42.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −77.1%, n=41 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−38.7% over 36 fills); −$52K lifetime P&L, $885.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.