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Trader profile

OnePiece7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$17.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate63%619 settled · past 180 days9 open · 22% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded620Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.2% / $95% interval −506.9% to +484.5%42 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−10.9%n=12 settled
Politics
−27.7%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 63% · Decided 619 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$1.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$112
Concentration
31%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$515PnL−$13Avg21¢Current20.5¢2,512.95Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$270PnL+$81Avg41.2¢Current58.9¢458.7Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$234PnL+$52Avg45.5¢Current58.5¢400Shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
NoValue$188PnL+$2Avg93.3¢Current94.1¢200Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$185PnL+$11Avg87¢Current92.5¢200Shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$179PnL−$30Avg45.6¢Current39¢458.61Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$83PnL+$6Avg16.1¢Current17.5¢475.67Shares
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$5PnL+$2Avg0.7¢Current1.1¢480Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet OnePiece7: 63% win rate over 619 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −11.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −506.9%, n=42 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−10.9% over 12 fills); +$17.3K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.