Trader profile

alligatorr

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-20

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate53.3%645 settled · past 180 days22 open · 74% underwater · 4 days ago

Lifetime volume$460.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded1,982Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.3% · Decided 645 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded4 days ago

Current position value: $1.5K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$3.6K
Concentration: 27%
Positions: 160

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

NoValue$400PnL−$82Avg59¢Current49¢815.34Shares

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

YesValue$380PnL−$25Avg62.3¢Current58.5¢649.99Shares

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

YesValue$253PnL+$36Avg42.9¢Current50¢505.25Shares

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

NoValue$94PnL+$13Avg73.5¢Current85.5¢110Shares

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

YesValue$80PnL+$15Avg29.4¢Current36.4¢220.42Shares

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

YesValue$57PnL+$36Avg11.7¢Current31.8¢179.27Shares

ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?

NoValue$53PnL+$23Avg54.2¢Current94.9¢56.16Shares

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

YesValue$39PnL−$17Avg18.6¢Current13¢300Shares

Showing 8 of 160 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet alligatorr: 53.3% win rate over 645 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$4.8K lifetime P&L, $460.7K traded, updated 2026-09-20.