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Trader profile

nrf5

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.6%1,398 settled · past 90 days20 open · 32% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,560Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.9% / $95% interval −244.4% to +198.7%13 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.9%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.6% · Decided 1,398 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$7.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$93
Concentration
14.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bills · NoValue$1.1KPnL−$2Avg75.7¢Current75.5¢1,500Shares
Seahawks · YesValue$814PnL+$7Avg73.4¢Current74¢1,100Shares
Dplus KIA Challengers · NoValue$741PnL+$38Avg87.8¢Current92.5¢800.81Shares
Ravens · YesValue$625PnL+$29Avg59.6¢Current62.5¢1,000Shares
Chiefs · YesValue$599PnL−$9Avg86.7¢Current85.5¢700Shares
Florida · NoValue$518PnL−$5Avg58¢Current57.5¢900Shares
Jaguars · NoValue$476PnL−$4Avg60¢Current59.5¢800Shares
Panthers · YesValue$468PnL−$12Avg60¢Current58.5¢800Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet nrf5: 59.6% win rate over 1,398 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −22.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −244.4%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.9% over 12 fills); +$7.4K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.