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Trader profile

RealMaxNick

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$29.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.3%411 settled · past 180 days20 open · 10% underwater · 24 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded775Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −287.0% to +254.8%43 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−2.6%n=17 settled
Finance
−20.8%n=26 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.3% · Decided 411 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded24 hours ago
Current position value
$79.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29.7K
Concentration
49.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
169
Showing the largest 8 of 169
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$39.6KPnL+$13.9KAvg56.9¢Current87.5¢45,219.62Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
NoValue$11.6KPnL+$489Avg87.6¢Current91.5¢12,672.38Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.2KPnL+$2.9KAvg43.3¢Current72.5¢9,955.78Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5.9KPnL−$1.5KAvg73.9¢Current58.5¢10,000.01Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$717Avg79¢Current94.5¢4,630.36Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$2.6KAvg27.4¢Current90.5¢4,145Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$150Avg74.6¢Current81.5¢2,190.1Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$149Avg84¢Current77.5¢2,295Shares
Showing 8 of 169 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RealMaxNick: 69.3% win rate over 411 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −287.0%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−2.6% over 17 fills); +$29.8K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.