PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

bit754

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$76.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.3%140 settled · past 90 days4 open · 95% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded179Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.9% / $95% interval −20.4% to +18.6%189 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+17.7%n=38 settled
Sports
−6.7%n=151 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 25 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.3% · Decided 140 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$2.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$239.5K
Concentration
58.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
84
Showing the largest 8 of 84
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
MOUZ · NoValue$1.6KPnL+$191Avg25¢Current28.5¢5,510Shares
LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C
FENNEL · YesValue$1.1KPnL+$4Avg24.4¢Current24.5¢4,492.51Shares
LoL: Solary vs ZSK (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D
ZSK · NoValue$6PnL−$2.8KAvg22.8¢Current0.1¢12,475.3Shares
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · YesValue$4PnL−$1.3KAvg15¢Current0.1¢8,634.65Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
Bilibili Gaming Junior · NoValue$0PnL−$577Avg17.9¢Current0¢3,226.97Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg23.5¢Current0¢9,422.43Shares
LoL: Verdant vs mCon esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
mCon esports · NoValue$0PnL−$197Avg15¢Current0¢1,316.04Shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Anyone's LegendValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg25.7¢Current0¢8,854.66Shares
Showing 8 of 84 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bit754: 54.3% win rate over 140 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −20.4%, n=189 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.7% over 151 fills); +$76.2K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.