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Trader profile

tonyboy108

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$409Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price25 open · 22% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$89.5K216 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded128Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.4% / $95% interval −6.3% to +7.2%11 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$6.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$33
Concentration
24.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$5Avg99.1¢Current99.5¢1,516Shares
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$476PnL+$5Avg97.8¢Current98.9¢481.1Shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$469PnL−$0.73Avg97.6¢Current97.4¢481.9Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YesValue$468PnL−$2Avg96.6¢Current96.2¢486.9Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$249PnL+$8Avg96.1¢Current99.4¢250.2Shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$245PnL+$4Avg97.6¢Current99.4¢246.1Shares
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$243PnL+$3Avg98.3¢Current99.4¢244.3Shares
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
NoValue$236PnL+$6Avg97.4¢Current99.9¢236.3Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tonyboy108: edge +0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.3%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days); +$409 lifetime P&L, $89.5K traded, updated 2026-09-21.