PolyTrace
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Trader profile

switzerpredictor

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$15.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.9%540 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded520Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.6% / $95% interval −379.8% to +348.6%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.6%n=58 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.9% · Decided 540 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$104.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
252
Showing the largest 8 of 252
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro
Emma Navarro · NoValue$0PnL−$113Avg58.6¢Current0¢193.07Shares
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Riera
Danka Kovinic · YesValue$0PnL−$600Avg30¢Current0¢2,000Shares
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg56.7¢Current0¢1,832.67Shares
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova
Oleksandra Oliynykova · NoValue$0PnL−$760Avg36¢Current0¢2,110.99Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$663Avg5.3¢Current0¢12,597.39Shares
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva
Vit Kopriva · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg36.2¢Current0¢1,382.24Shares
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Aryna Sabalenka · YesValue$0PnL−$489Avg65¢Current0¢752.6Shares
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Rinderknech · YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg25.3¢Current0¢988.19Shares
Showing 8 of 252 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet switzerpredictor: 38.9% win rate over 540 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −15.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −379.8%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.6% over 58 fills); −$15.9K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-22.