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Trader profile

Noname333

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70.8%216 settled · past 180 days16 open · 20% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$857.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded452Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.6% / $95% interval −455.1% to +448.0%22 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+4.9%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.8% · Decided 216 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$21.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$751
Concentration
13.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$113Avg73.5¢Current76.5¢3,777.44Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$120Avg78¢Current82.5¢2,692.21Shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$74Avg76.8¢Current79.5¢2,734.72Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$229Avg76.3¢Current85.5¢2,491.21Shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$118Avg79.8¢Current84.5¢2,507.64Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$93Avg88.4¢Current92.5¢2,265.45Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
NoValue$2KPnL+$50Avg88.2¢Current90.5¢2,184.9Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$2Avg86.4¢Current86.5¢1,390.31Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Noname333: 70.8% win rate over 216 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −455.1%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+4.9% over 15 fills); +$13K lifetime P&L, $857.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.