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Trader profile

Belgaron

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$40.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.9%345 settled · past 90 days268 open · 36% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,255Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.0% / $95% interval −10.8% to +16.7%67 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+4.7%n=12 settled
Sports
+2.5%n=51 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.9% · Decided 345 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$204.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$6.5K
Concentration
5.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
269
Showing the largest 8 of 269
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$11KPnL+$1.5KAvg84.2¢Current97¢11,337.13Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$10.4KPnL+$2.4KAvg73.4¢Current95.9¢10,881.59Shares
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NoValue$7.6KPnL+$265Avg88.8¢Current92¢8,279.04Shares
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
NoValue$7.5KPnL+$900Avg73.5¢Current83.5¢8,995.08Shares
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$5.7KPnL+$86Avg84.2¢Current85.5¢6,691.63Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YesValue$5.7KPnL+$839Avg83.5¢Current97.9¢5,814.75Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$5.3KPnL−$490Avg78.7¢Current72¢7,298.64Shares
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
YesValue$5.1KPnL+$297Avg73¢Current77.5¢6,592.08Shares
Showing 8 of 269 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Belgaron: 69.9% win rate over 345 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.8%, n=67 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+4.7% over 12 fills); −$40.4K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.