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Trader profile

hersoan2025

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76%1,179 settled · past 180 days9 open · 42% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$777.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,292Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.8% / $95% interval −571.6% to +543.9%20 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−13.8%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76% · Decided 1,179 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$41
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1
Concentration
26.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$11PnL+$0.82Avg61¢Current66¢16.39Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$11PnL+$0.54Avg91¢Current96¢10.99Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$9PnL−$1Avg40¢Current34.5¢25Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$6PnL+$1Avg74.5¢Current93.6¢6.71Shares
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
NoValue$1PnL+$0.01Avg95.9¢Current96.5¢1.04Shares
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
NoValue$1PnL$0Avg99.6¢Current100¢1Shares
Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
NoValue$0.98PnL−$0.02Avg99.5¢Current97.3¢1.01Shares
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
NoValue$0.96PnL−$0.04Avg99.9¢Current96.1¢1Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hersoan2025: 76% win rate over 1,179 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −13.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −571.6%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−13.8% over 20 fills); −$2.8K lifetime P&L, $777.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.