PolyTrace
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Trader profile

oxbus

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.9%1,709 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$31.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded334Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.1% / $95% interval −5.7% to +11.9%384 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+10.4%n=26 settled
Unmapped
+3.1%n=13 settled
Sports
+2.9%n=338 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.9% · Decided 1,709 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17
Concentration
99.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Team Liquid · YesValue$1.3KPnL−$15Avg44¢Current43.5¢2,999.98Shares
Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez
Leylah Fernandez · NoValue$0.97PnL+$0.26Avg73¢Current100¢0.97Shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox · YesValue$0.97PnL+$0.47Avg52¢Current100¢0.97Shares
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?
NoValue$0.97PnL+$0.44Avg55¢Current100¢0.97Shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
NoValue$0.91PnL+$0.43Avg53¢Current100¢0.91Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles · NoValue$0.74PnL+$0.34Avg54¢Current100¢0.74Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies · NoValue$0.34PnL+$0.15Avg56¢Current100¢0.34Shares
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
3DMAX · NoValue$0.13PnL+$0.07Avg49¢Current100¢0.13Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet oxbus: 49.9% win rate over 1,709 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −5.7%, n=384 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+10.4% over 26 fills); −$9.1K lifetime P&L, $31.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.