PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Dropper

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.1%78 settled · past 90 days23 open · 26% underwater · 24 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$52.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded318Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+27.6% / $95% interval −11.4% to +66.5%107 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+97.1%n=28 settled
Crypto
+14.2%n=13 settled
Finance
−0.7%n=12 settled
Politics
−1.6%n=27 settled
Sports
−23.2%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.1% · Decided 78 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete24 minutes ago
Current position value
$357.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$70.2K
Concentration
27.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$99.6KPnL+$9.9KAvg77.9¢Current86.5¢115,116.04Shares
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$81KPnL+$770Avg99¢Current100¢81,041.45Shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$43.2KPnL+$2.7KAvg91.3¢Current97.3¢44,443.93Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$23.8KPnL+$8.8KAvg50¢Current79.4¢30,000Shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$19.6KPnL+$3.5KAvg63.8¢Current77.9¢25,231.15Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$15.7KPnL−$111Avg71¢Current70.5¢22,221.93Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$1.5KAvg83¢Current93.8¢13,584.27Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$12.5KPnL−$367Avg72.6¢Current70.5¢17,776Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Dropper: 55.1% win rate over 78 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +27.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −11.4%, n=107 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+97.1% over 28 fills); +$1.5M lifetime P&L, $52.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.