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Trader profile

finlandgoat

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate78.5%186 settled · past 180 days2 open · 50% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded171Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.0% / $95% interval −19.0% to +2.9%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.0%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 78.5% · Decided 186 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.6K
Concentration
86.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$867PnL+$367Avg50¢Current86.7¢1,000Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$134PnL−$367Avg50¢Current13.4¢1,000Shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$165Avg1.9¢Current0¢8,484.08Shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffs
PARIVISION · NoValue$0PnL−$45Avg14.2¢Current0¢314.99Shares
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
G2 · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg50¢Current0¢999.99Shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$7.3KAvg91.9¢Current0¢8,000.01Shares
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
EYEBALLERS · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg50¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$32Avg10.6¢Current0¢299.99Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet finlandgoat: 78.5% win rate over 186 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −19.0%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.0% over 17 fills); −$7.4K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.