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Trader profile

LeRoiSoleil

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$12.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.9%488 settled · past 180 days13 open · 64% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded537Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.9% / $95% interval −160.7% to +158.9%98 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+8.2%n=56 settled
Finance
+3.3%n=11 settled
Sports
−20.2%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.9% · Decided 488 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$60K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$22.9K
Concentration
40%
Largest share of value
Positions
22
Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$24KPnL+$1.2KAvg22.3¢Current23.5¢102,113.07Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$14.3KPnL+$1.6KAvg37.7¢Current42.6¢33,452.68Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$13.4KPnL−$94Avg72¢Current71.5¢18,751.62Shares
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
NoValue$6.6KPnL+$31Avg69.2¢Current69.5¢9,499.03Shares
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$5KAvg8.8¢Current2.3¢76,357.75Shares
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
YesValue$1PnL+$0.11Avg83¢Current92.5¢1.2Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1PnL+$1Avg0¢Current73.5¢1.45Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1PnL+$0.04Avg60¢Current62.5¢1.67Shares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LeRoiSoleil: 44.9% win rate over 488 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −0.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −160.7%, n=98 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+8.2% over 56 fills); +$12.3K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.