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Trader profile

aplstrade

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$16.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$335K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded882Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+51.4% / $95% interval −18.1% to +120.8%31 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+51.4%n=31 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete20 minutes ago
Current position value
$51
Snapshot cash PnL
−$33.3K
Concentration
88.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
334
Showing the largest 8 of 334
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chiefs · NoValue$45PnL+$3Avg47¢Current50¢90.54Shares
Elvina Kalieva · NoValue$0.88PnL+$0.50Avg43¢Current100¢0.88Shares
Julieta Pareja · YesValue$0.85PnL+$0.32Avg62¢Current100¢0.85Shares
Jacob Fearnley · YesValue$0.77PnL+$0.08Avg90¢Current100¢0.77Shares
Florent Bax · NoValue$0.68PnL+$0.24Avg64¢Current100¢0.68Shares
Andrea Lazaro Garcia · NoValue$0.67PnL+$0.16Avg76¢Current100¢0.67Shares
Rahul Dhokia · YesValue$0.65PnL+$0.14Avg78¢Current100¢0.65Shares
Alec Deckers · YesValue$0.59PnL+$0.17Avg72¢Current100¢0.59Shares
Showing 8 of 334 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet aplstrade: edge +51.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −18.1%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+51.4% over 31 fills); +$16.6K lifetime P&L, $335K traded, updated 2026-09-24.