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Trader profile

flyorange4208

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$17.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate84%431 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded687Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.9% / $95% interval −244.0% to +222.2%115 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.9%n=115 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 84% · Decided 431 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$153.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
117
Showing the largest 8 of 117
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
GAM Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg15¢Current0¢1,333.33Shares
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
Kiwoom DRX · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg85¢Current0¢352.94Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
ThunderTalk GamingValue$0PnL−$7KAvg86¢Current0¢8,135.28Shares
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Vici Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg81¢Current0¢2,469.91Shares
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Team Secret · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg68¢Current0¢735.29Shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$701Avg85.7¢Current0¢817.78Shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
GamerLegionValue$0PnL−$2KAvg55.7¢Current0¢3,589.83Shares
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner
Team Heretics Academy · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg96.6¢Current0¢1,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 117 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet flyorange4208: 84% win rate over 431 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −244.0%, n=115 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.9% over 115 fills); −$17.5K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.