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Trader profile

Runner109

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$30.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.9%343 settled · past 90 days23 open · 49% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$60.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded261Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.9% / $95% interval −237.7% to +217.9%187 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.2%n=184 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.9% · Decided 343 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$51.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$172
Concentration
69.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YesValue$36.1KPnL+$3.4KAvg71.2¢Current78.5¢45,949.44Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YesValue$7.6KPnL−$4KAvg26.6¢Current17.5¢43,426.1Shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$1.6KAvg30.5¢Current98.7¢2,363.9Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$48Avg69.6¢Current72.5¢1,640.39Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$717PnL+$44Avg12.7¢Current13.5¢5,314.15Shares
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$698PnL+$22Avg96.5¢Current99.7¢700.01Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$616PnL−$6Avg77.8¢Current77¢800.04Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$485PnL−$21Avg50.6¢Current48.5¢1,000.07Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Runner109: 58.9% win rate over 343 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −237.7%, n=187 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.2% over 184 fills); +$30.9K lifetime P&L, $60.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.