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Trader profile

phantomsc

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.6%217 settled · past 180 days52 open · 100% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded212Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.5% / $95% interval −28.9% to +21.9%53 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.5%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.6% · Decided 217 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0.89
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24
Concentration
23.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
52
Showing the largest 8 of 52
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.21PnL−$0.29Avg50¢Current21¢1Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.13PnL−$0.36Avg48.9¢Current13.1¢1Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.12PnL−$0.12Avg23.3¢Current11.6¢1Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.10PnL−$0.40Avg50¢Current9.7¢1Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.08PnL−$0.42Avg49.2¢Current7.5¢1Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.05PnL−$0.42Avg47.2¢Current4.8¢1Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.03PnL−$0.46Avg49.4¢Current3.1¢1Shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.03PnL−$0.47Avg50¢Current2.7¢1Shares
Showing 8 of 52 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet phantomsc: 51.6% win rate over 217 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.9%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.5% over 53 fills); +$1.6K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-19.