PolyTrace
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Trader profile

tellmehowtowin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.7%535 settled · past 180 days11 open · 100% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded513Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+20.4% / $95% interval −3.1% to +43.9%30 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+20.4%n=30 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.7% · Decided 535 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$606
Snapshot cash PnL
−$187.5K
Concentration
51.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
259
Showing the largest 8 of 259
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Game Handicap: LDS (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)
Pyramid IV Esports · NoValue$310PnL−$8Avg40¢Current39¢793.67Shares
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A
Pyramid IV Esports · YesValue$120PnL−$80Avg20¢Current12¢1,000Shares
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner
Pyramid IV Esports · YesValue$110PnL−$180Avg29¢Current11¢999.98Shares
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner
mCon esports · NoValue$60PnL−$30Avg9¢Current6¢999.92Shares
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Only The Family - Game 1 Winner
Only The Family · NoValue$3PnL−$2Avg22¢Current13.5¢24.56Shares
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A
Arctic Pandas · NoValue$1PnL−$180Avg9¢Current0.1¢2,000Shares
LoL: Team Aqua ASD vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner
Team Aqua ASD · YesValue$0.50PnL−$199Avg20¢Current0.1¢1,000Shares
LoL: Barça eSports vs Bubliki (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D
Bubliki · NoValue$0.50PnL−$50Avg5¢Current0.1¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 259 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tellmehowtowin: 47.7% win rate over 535 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +20.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.1%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+20.4% over 30 fills); −$6.5K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-21.