PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x6992…6c1d

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$8.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.5%520 settled · past 180 days20 open · 94% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded450Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.3% / $95% interval −289.2% to +212.7%11 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.5% · Decided 520 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$7.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9K
Concentration
27.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YesValue$2.1KPnL−$328Avg7.5¢Current6.5¢32,000Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$277Avg17.3¢Current15.1¢12,311.26Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
YesValue$583PnL−$341Avg5.3¢Current3.4¢17,398.57Shares
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
YesValue$554PnL+$142Avg6.3¢Current8.5¢6,517.02Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
YesValue$369PnL−$427Avg11.9¢Current5.5¢6,709.99Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$363PnL−$668Avg12.3¢Current4.4¢8,351.93Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$330PnL+$10Avg16¢Current16.5¢2,000.02Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$295PnL−$5Avg30¢Current29.5¢1,000.01Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d: 56.5% win rate over 520 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −38.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −289.2%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days); +$8.5K lifetime P&L, $6.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.