PolyTrace
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Trader profile

PredictionYogi

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$69.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.3%2,290 settled · past 180 days3 open · 38% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$36.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded918Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+39.6% / $95% interval −95.5% to +174.7%227 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+98.8%n=96 settled
Unmapped
−6.0%n=16 settled
Politics
−9.4%n=112 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.3% · Decided 2,290 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$2.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.6K
Concentration
85.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$19Avg99.1¢Current99.9¢2,383.92Shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
NoValue$417PnL+$0.21Avg99.9¢Current100¢417.31Shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
YesValue$0.18PnL−$12Avg9.9¢Current0.2¢120.42Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg45.1¢Current0¢4,804.09Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg6¢Current0¢16.67Shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg31.1¢Current0¢5,675.64Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg16.6¢Current0¢12.04Shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$567Avg19.2¢Current0¢2,955.37Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PredictionYogi: 81.3% win rate over 2,290 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +39.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −95.5%, n=227 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+98.8% over 96 fills); +$69.8K lifetime P&L, $36.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.