PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

simpson10

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$25.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.1%1,676 settled · past 90 days0 open · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$978.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,599Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.8% / $95% interval −135.9% to +143.5%86 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.8%n=86 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.1% · Decided 1,676 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$7
Snapshot cash PnL
−$101.5K
Concentration
12.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
567
Showing the largest 8 of 567
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Open WTA: Harriet Dart vs Peyton Stearns
Harriet Dart · YesValue$0.91PnL+$0.55Avg40¢Current100¢0.91Shares
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskyte
Justina Mikulskyte · NoValue$0.90PnL+$0.57Avg37¢Current100¢0.9Shares
ITF Brisbane: Maiko Uchijima vs Eva Lopez
Maiko Uchijima · YesValue$0.74PnL+$0.36Avg52¢Current100¢0.74Shares
Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Anton Matusevich
Anton Matusevich · NoValue$0.73PnL+$0.31Avg57¢Current100¢0.73Shares
Cincinnati Open: Simona Waltert vs Petra Marcinko
Simona Waltert · YesValue$0.71PnL+$0.55Avg23¢Current100¢0.71Shares
Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
Nadia Podoroska · YesValue$0.56PnL+$0.20Avg64¢Current100¢0.56Shares
Palermo: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Jennifer Ruggeri · NoValue$0.54PnL+$0.35Avg36¢Current100¢0.54Shares
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekh
Valentin Royer · YesValue$0.50PnL+$0.29Avg43¢Current100¢0.5Shares
Showing 8 of 567 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet simpson10: 56.1% win rate over 1,676 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −135.9%, n=86 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.8% over 86 fills); +$25.2K lifetime P&L, $978.7K traded, updated 2026-09-23.