PolyTrace
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Trader profile

mombil

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$489.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…123 open · 46% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$44.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded636Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.8% / $95% interval −149.4% to +105.9%107 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−7.0%n=35 settled
Politics
−22.0%n=67 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$458.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$14.2K
Concentration
49.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
153
Showing the largest 8 of 153
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$228.6KPnL+$93.6KAvg50¢Current84.7¢270,000Shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$53.5KPnL+$8.4KAvg82¢Current97.4¢55,000Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$41.4KPnL−$93.6KAvg50¢Current15.4¢270,000Shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$16KPnL+$4.6KAvg3.9¢Current5.5¢294,447.81Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.1KPnL+$1.1KAvg80.3¢Current87.5¢14,999.8Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$6.7KPnL+$661Avg59¢Current65.5¢10,166.73Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$6.5KPnL+$1.3KAvg69.1¢Current85.5¢7,620.99Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.1KPnL+$3.2KAvg45.8¢Current96.7¢6,335.38Shares
Showing 8 of 153 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mombil: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −21.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −149.4%, n=107 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−7.0% over 35 fills); +$489.3K lifetime P&L, $44.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.