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Trader profile

lonzoball

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.1%336 settled · past 180 days0 open · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,323Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.6% / $95% interval −308.3% to +305.0%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.9%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.1% · Decided 336 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$45.6K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
75
Showing the largest 8 of 75
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Milwaukee Brewers · NoValue$0PnL−$249Avg55¢Current453.58Shares
Tampa Bay Rays · YesValue$0PnL−$435Avg49¢Current888.08Shares
Boston Red Sox · YesValue$0PnL−$467Avg57¢Current819.3Shares
Toronto Blue Jays · YesValue$0PnL−$366Avg50¢Current732Shares
Athletics · YesValue$0PnL−$333Avg49¢Current679.59Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$128Avg22.5¢Current568.51Shares
Showing 8 of 75 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lonzoball: 46.1% win rate over 336 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −1.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −308.3%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.9% over 15 fills); −$7.8K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.