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Trader profile

Magnabelli

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateTrade history could not be loaded0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded806Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.5% / $95% interval −184.3% to +165.3%319 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.5%n=277 settled
Unmapped
−12.0%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$218K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
108
Showing the largest 8 of 108
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$5.4KAvg84.7¢Current6,351.48Shares
KT RolsterValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg72.7¢Current3,026Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg68.9¢Current6,095.59Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg60.5¢Current3,306.62Shares
100 Thieves · YesValue$0PnL−$107Avg63¢Current169.24Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg71.3¢Current3,645.88Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$800Avg83.6¢Current956.45Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg70.5¢Current1,844.02Shares
Showing 8 of 108 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Magnabelli: edge −9.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −184.3%, n=319 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.5% over 277 fills); −$12.1K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.