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Trader profile

hetacz

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$24.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate22.6%1,596 settled · past 90 days162 open · 49% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$23M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded236Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.6% / $95% interval −889.2% to +808.1%29 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−40.6%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 22.6% · Decided 1,596 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$34.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$343
Concentration
35.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
162
Showing the largest 8 of 162
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$12.3KPnL+$4.8KAvg50¢Current81.8¢15,000Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.7KPnL−$4.8KAvg50¢Current18.3¢15,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$1Avg99.8¢Current100¢1,300Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$119Avg68.2¢Current75.5¢1,630.54Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$999PnL+$254Avg13.8¢Current18.5¢5,398.39Shares
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?
YesValue$884PnL+$636Avg6.2¢Current22¢4,020Shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
NoValue$770PnL+$5Avg95.7¢Current96.3¢800Shares
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
YesValue$756PnL+$647Avg4.6¢Current31.5¢2,400.01Shares
Showing 8 of 162 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hetacz: 22.6% win rate over 1,596 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −40.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −889.2%, n=29 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−40.6% over 29 fills); +$24.8K lifetime P&L, $23M traded, updated 2026-09-23.