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Trader profile

0x6851…ec54

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$893Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.6%285 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$163.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded683Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.8% / $95% interval −98.7% to +61.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.8%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.6% · Decided 285 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$745
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg24¢Current14.58Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg37¢Current5.27Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg58¢Current6.03Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg38¢Current9.21Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg44¢Current7.95Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg41¢Current8.54Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg40¢Current5.63Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg26¢Current13.46Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x6851e7da9302f967ce06d682e02d5661752cec54: 64.6% win rate over 285 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −98.7%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.8% over 20 fills); +$893 lifetime P&L, $163.5K traded, updated 2026-09-22.